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dvd臺灣農村規劃的在地美臺灣獵鹿季節
   
   
   
     
   
 
項次 書目
1
題名:臺灣地區結婚率、出生率、人口成長率的時間數列模式探討    
ARIMA MODELING OF BIRTH, MARRIAGE AND POPULATION GROWTH RATES IN TAIWAN
著者:吳柏林(Berlin Wu) ;廖敏治(Miin-chih Liaw)
出版地區:台灣
出版城市:台北市
學科:社會學
刊名:人口學刊
卷期:14期(1991.12)
頁碼:109-132
語言:繁體中文
摘要: 英文摘要PDF

Due to the rapid growth of population in Taiwan, the study of demography has always been the interest of the sociologist. Moreover, the three dynamics of indexes of population growth, birth and marriage rates have an apparent interdependent relationship, and they play an important role in the study of demography In this paper, we will focus on these three indexes and explore in terms of the time series model. Furthrmore, the comparison and analysis will be made utilizing univariate ARIMA model, transfer function model and multivariate ARIMA model accordingly. The seasonal factor will also be considered. Lastly, the prediction will be made on the short term growth rate of these three indexes, and we will also estimate the monthly sum of population of the next two years in Taiwan.


    

本卷期目次
人口學刊 14期 (1991.12)
勞動力人口結構變遷對人力運用的影響/ 謝雨生
臺灣地區結婚率、出生率、人口成長率的時間數列模式探討/ 吳柏林廖敏治
書評--Issues in Social Demography/ Ching-lung Tsay
書評--Family Planning Programme in India/ Li Chi
書評--Fertility and Family Planning in Rural Areas/ Chaonan CHEN
MIGRATION SELECTIVITY AND ITS CONSEQUENCES ON THE OCCUPATIONAL STRUCTURE IN THE TAIPEI METROPOLIS/ Chaonan CHEN
高雄都會區的人口密度分布模型--人口密度函數理論的再驗證/ 何金銘
台灣地區縣市社經發展與人口遷移的關係/ 邊瑞芬
 
   
 
   

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